[Cite as http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DP150100411]
Researchers Dr Seth Westra; Dr Fiona Johnson; Dr Francis Zwiers; Prof Hayley Fowler; Dr Geert Lenderink
Brief description Climate change is causing extreme rainfall intensity to increase globally. The greatest increases occur for short-duration storms lasting up to several hours, bringing a heightened risk of flash floods that are often extremely hazardous due to their rapid onset. The project will develop a new spatial extreme value framework to predict extreme rainfall patterns, using insights on future changes to rainfall triggering mechanisms (e.g. convective, frontal or orographic). The research will provide projections in the form of intensity–frequency–duration curves, areal reduction factors and antecedent rainfall depths. Engineers will use this information to design infrastructure and urban planning policies to adapt to future flood risk.
Funding Amount 275900
Funding Scheme Discovery Projects