[Cite as http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/FT140101192]
Researchers Dr Damien Fordham
Brief description Current forecasts indicate that human-driven climate change will likely cause widespread biodiversity loss. However climatic shifts during the Quaternary (2.6 million years ago to present), similar in magnitude to those projected for the 21st century, did not apparently cause extensive extinctions (with the exception of the megafauna). I will use models linked to past responses imprinted in species’ genes to resolve whether the disparity between observed and predicted extinction rates comes from models over-predicting species loss due to climate change. I will use this genetic-demographic approach to improve predictions of biodiversity responses to global change by establishing the biological and environmental determinants of extinction.
Funding Amount $770,684
Funding Scheme Future Fellowships